More than a fifth of voters made up their minds on election day
Labour leader Keir Starmer could secure a parliamentary majority of more than 200
Live-updating state of the parties polling ahead of the general election on July 4
Use our model to estimate the result in every constituency using the latest polls or what you think the result will be
Fall reaches historic proportions after Reform party, Liberal Democrats and Greens gain traction
Ipsos survey for the FT finds high levels of volatility in electorate ahead of July 4 ballot
A Conservative meltdown plus favourable opinion polling could help Ed Davey’s party chart a path to second place
Thursday evening poll shows Nigel Farage ahead of Tories
Significant potential swings, tactical voting and undecided voters may all play havoc with forecasting models
The rights of the terminally ill to choose a better death need careful consideration
Conservatives could help matters by ending public squabbles and rallying around its leader
FT polling analysis shows there is almost no way for Conservative party to remain in power
Examples from around the world show that voters are not predictable
One-dimensional survey questions foster one-dimensional debate
PM wants to show willingness to confront tough decisions, but his announcements are so far unhelpful to his falling ratings
Past attempts at temperature taking in constituencies shows challenge of getting a representative sample
Sunak well placed to win over a large bloc of floating voters despite Starmer’s substantial poll lead, survey suggests
Polling suggests there is little appetite for PM’s policies to improve economic growth
Labour needs a way to turn indecision among 2019 Tory voters into a positive choice to vote for the alternative
A recent Ipsos MORI/Economist poll on Covid restrictions was redone along the lines of our suggestions and the results are starkly different.
Plenty of people have been buying into their success story but research points to risk for investors
Five years on from referendum, 4 out of 5 Britons surveyed say they would still vote same way
The FT has updated its analysis of opinion polls ahead of Scottish and Welsh votes
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